Market Profile, Volume Profile, PBD Concept Strategy

Unlock an 80-90% win rate breakout strategy using Market Profile and Volume Profile across weekly, daily, and 1-minute timeframes on Nikkei Future. Identify mar

Published · Updated · Methodology: Price Action

Part of: Volume Analysis

  • Methodology: Price Action
  • Content type: strategy
  • Timeframes: Weekly chart, Daily chart, 1-minute chart
  • Markets: Nikkei Future

Indicators used

  • Market Profile
  • Volume Profile
  • PbD concept (P-Setup)

Source video

Decoded from: My Simplest Trading Strategy (80–90% Win Rate) by Tom Vorwald EN — watch the original

Key timestamps:

  • 0:00 - Introduction to 80-90% win rate strategy
  • 1:00 - Importance of identifying market phases (30% imbalance)
  • 1:20 - Introduction to PPD concept (PbD method)
  • 2:00 - Overview of weekly and daily charts for market profiling
  • 2:40 - Identifying market equilibrium vs. imbalance
  • 3:40 - Waiting for market to go above/below balance for imbalance
  • 4:30 - Example on Nikkei Future: previous week's profile and current week's opening
  • 5:00 - Market opening above previous balance, testing value area
  • 5:30 - Aggressive reaction to the upside indicates imbalance
  • 5:50 - Daily chart: rising VPOC indicates strong uptrend
  • 6:30 - Locating price range for acceleration, single print area
  • 7:00 - Using the PBD concept (P-Setup) for proof of market strength
  • 7:20 - Transferring balance to 1-minute chart, looking for 'P' setup
  • 7:40 - 'P' setup indicates aggressive buyers shifting balance upwards
  • 8:00 - Breakout with higher closing price, market continues to push higher
  • 8:30 - Confidence from combining elements and breakout setup
  • 9:00 - Waiting for the exact moment and signal

Strategy overview

Volume-based profiling asks a different question than a price chart does: instead of where price went, it maps where trade actually happened, stacking activity by price level to show which areas the market accepted and which it rejected. What distinguishes this entry from other volume approaches is that it does not begin with a setup at all — it begins with a classification. Tom Vorwald EN spends the opening minutes of "My Simplest Trading Strategy (80–90% Win Rate)" on market phases: deciding whether the market is currently in balance, where two-sided trade rotates around a fair area, or in imbalance, where one side is pushing price away from it. In this framing, imbalance is the exception rather than the default state, and the profile's job is to tell you which regime you are in before any entry question is on the table.

The timeframe structure is the other unusual feature. Profiling is done on weekly and daily charts, and execution drops straight to the 1-minute — with nothing in between. That gap is deliberate in intent: all of the *where* is settled on positional charts, and the 1-minute chart contributes only timing. It also removes the intermediate layer most traders use as a safety net, since there is no 1-hour or 15-minute confirmation step to catch a misread of the weekly picture before the trade is already live. The PbD concept, or P-setup, sits on top of this as a profile *shape* read — a distribution the presenter describes as the visual fingerprint of aggressive buying — which means it is recognized by eye rather than triggered by a threshold, and two traders looking at the same session can reasonably disagree about whether they are seeing one.

Two honest limits belong on this page. The win-rate figure is the presenter's own title claim, not something verified here; and win rate on its own settles nothing about whether an approach makes money, because a high hit rate is the normal signature of trading back into balance, where the wins are small and the occasional loss is not. Second, no mechanical rules were extracted from this video, so what you will find here is the concept layer — balance versus imbalance, what a P-shaped profile is understood to indicate, and how the weekly-to-1-minute structure is meant to fit together — rather than a rule-by-rule breakdown.

Topics

market profile strategy · volume profile strategy · pbd concept · nikkei future trading · breakout strategy · price action · trading strategy · pine script · tradingview strategy · high win rate strategy · weekly chart strategy · daily chart strategy · 1 minute strategy · imbalance trading

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between market balance and imbalance?

Balance describes a market rotating around an accepted fair area, with two-sided trade building a wide distribution of activity at similar prices. Imbalance describes one side taking control and moving price away from that area, leaving thin activity behind. Market Profile approaches classify which state the market is in before deciding what kind of trade, if any, makes sense.

What is a P-shaped profile, or P-setup?

A P-shaped profile is a session distribution with a fat, wide area of activity toward the upper end and a thin extension below it. In Market Profile literature it is generally read as one-sided buying that pushed price up quickly and then found acceptance at the higher level, and the source video describes it as a visual pattern of aggressive buying. It is a shape recognized by eye, not a numeric condition.

Why use weekly and daily charts together with a 1-minute chart?

The higher timeframes do the profiling — establishing where value sits and whether the market is balanced — while the 1-minute chart is used only for timing the entry into that pre-decided context. The trade-off is that skipping the intermediate timeframes leaves no confirmation layer between the positional read and live execution, so an error in the weekly assessment is not caught before the position is on.

Does a high win rate mean a strategy is profitable?

No. Win rate says nothing about expectancy without the size of the average win relative to the average loss, and strategies that fade moves back toward balance often show high hit rates with an asymmetric loss profile. Any win-rate claim in a video title is the presenter's own and should be treated as unverified until you backtest the approach yourself on historical data.

About this strategy page

This trading strategy was decoded by Strategy Decoder's AI from a public YouTube trading video and turned into a structured, reviewable specification. In the interactive app this page shows the full entry and exit logic, risk management settings, the indicators involved with their parameters, AlgoWizard-compatible logic and a Pine Script export ready for TradingView backtesting — plus an automated backtest verdict when one has been computed for this strategy.

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