Moving Average, Percent R Strategy

A daily strategy for US Treasury Notes, combining a 250-period Moving Average with Percent R for trend following and dynamic stop loss management.

Published · Updated · Methodology: Technical Indicators

Part of: Moving Average Strategies

  • Methodology: Technical Indicators
  • Content type: strategy
  • Timeframes: Daily
  • Markets: US Five-Year Treasury Note (FV)

Source video

Decoded from: Time-Traveling Bond Strategy | Strategy of the Month December 2023 by Peak Trading Research — watch the original

Strategy overview

A moving average compresses price into a single trend reference; pairing it with a Percent R reading — Williams %R, a bounded oscillator that measures where the close sits inside a recent high-low range — produces the most common two-part structure in indicator trading, where one component says which way the market leans and the other says whether it is stretched. What separates this entry from its siblings is where that pairing is pointed: the source video applies it to bonds, an asset class that rarely surfaces in retail strategy content, which is overwhelmingly written around index futures, forex pairs and crypto.

The video, "Time-Traveling Bond Strategy | Strategy of the Month December 2023", comes from Peak Trading Research and is one installment of a recurring monthly series rather than a standalone how-to — dated research output, with a market context behind it, instead of an evergreen tutorial. The "time-traveling" in the title is the presenter's own framing and this record does not resolve what it refers to; that belongs to the video itself. The one structural fact on file here is the timeframe: daily, which places the idea in swing or position territory rather than intraday, a natural fit for an instrument that moves on a slower clock than an equity index.

No chapter markers, indicator settings or decoded rules are attached to this entry, so nothing on this page should be read as a reconstruction of the setup. How the average is measured, what lookback the Percent R runs on, and how the two are sequenced into entries all live in the source. What this record offers is the classification and the provenance: a daily-timeframe, trend-plus-oscillator approach to fixed income, published as a dated monthly note by a research desk.

Topics

moving average strategy · percent r strategy · technical indicators · us treasury trading · fv trading strategy · daily trading strategy · swing trading · futures trading strategy · trend following strategy · pine script strategy · tradingview strategy · trading strategy

Frequently asked questions

What is a Percent R indicator?

Percent R (Williams %R) is a bounded oscillator that measures where the current close sits within the high-low range of a recent lookback period. It is normally read as an overbought/oversold or momentum gauge — it describes how stretched price is, not which direction the trend is running.

Why combine a moving average with an oscillator like Percent R?

Because they answer different questions. The moving average summarizes direction over a period, while the oscillator measures position within a recent range. Combining them is a common way to take signals only in the direction the average defines and use the oscillator for timing — the specific way the source video sequences the two is in the video.

What timeframe and market does this strategy use?

The entry is filed on the daily timeframe, and the source video — Peak Trading Research's Strategy of the Month for December 2023 — applies it to bonds. Daily bars put it in swing or position trading territory rather than intraday execution.

Are the trading rules for this strategy available on this page?

No decoded rules are on file for this entry, so the entries, exits and settings exist only in the source video. Strategy Decoder catalogs strategies like this one and extracts their structure where the source allows it; where nothing has been extracted, the page says so rather than filling the gap.

About this strategy page

This trading strategy was decoded by Strategy Decoder's AI from a public YouTube trading video and turned into a structured, reviewable specification. In the interactive app this page shows the full entry and exit logic, risk management settings, the indicators involved with their parameters, AlgoWizard-compatible logic and a Pine Script export ready for TradingView backtesting — plus an automated backtest verdict when one has been computed for this strategy.

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