SMC Novik Strategy for Futures & CFDs

Discover the SMC Novik Strategy for Futures & CFDs. This 5-minute timeframe strategy uses Smart Money Concepts (SMC) to identify 'no wick' candles after structu

Published · Updated · Methodology: SMC

Part of: Smart Money Concepts (SMC)

  • Methodology: SMC
  • Content type: strategy
  • Timeframes: 5 minutes
  • Markets: Futures, CFDs, Major Currencies, Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 (MNQ), S&P 500 (ES), Crude Oil (CL), Gold (avoid using)

Indicators used

  • SMC Novik

Source video

Decoded from: 80% Win Rate SMC Trading Strategy for Futures & CFDs | Kush Gupta by Kush Gupta — watch the original

Key timestamps:

  • 0:00 - Introduction and Win Rate Claim
  • 1:15 - Markets and Timeframes
  • 2:00 - Indicator Role (Structure Shift)
  • 2:40 - Entry Condition: No Wick Candle after CHOCH/BOS
  • 3:40 - Stop Loss and Take Profit
  • 5:40 - Example 2 (Sell Setup)
  • 7:30 - Example 3 (Loss Example)
  • 9:00 - Example 4 (New York Session)
  • 10:20 - Example 5 (Loss Example)
  • 11:50 - Example 6 (New York Session)
  • 13:00 - Example 7 (London Session)
  • 13:40 - Indicator Settings Discussion

Strategy overview

Smart Money Concepts reads price as a record of where institutional orders were filled and where liquidity still sits, and this entry decodes a version of that framework delivered through a named third-party tool: the SMC Novik indicator, applied on a 5-minute chart to futures and CFDs. What separates it from most SMC material is where the analysis actually happens — not in the trader's read of the chart, but inside an indicator that flags the structure shift for them.

That matters because the indicator's configuration is not public. Its settings sit behind the creator's paid community, which means the detection layer — the part that decides what counts as a shift in structure and when — is closed. A viewer can follow the workflow around it: which markets, which timeframe, what to wait for, where risk goes relative to the signal. What cannot be inspected is the definition doing the work underneath. Anyone reconstructing this without access is not rebuilding the strategy; they are rebuilding an approximation of it and inheriting whatever gap that leaves.

The video is titled "80% Win Rate SMC Trading Strategy for Futures & CFDs", and the headline number is the least portable thing in it. A hit rate says nothing on its own without the reward-to-risk it was earned at, and it travels badly across the two instrument classes named in the same breath: futures and CFDs carry different cost structures, different execution, and different session behaviour, all compressed here under one 5-minute label. No rule set was extracted from this video, so this page stays with the concept and the source rather than a decoded breakdown.

Topics

smc strategy · futures trading strategy · cfd trading strategy · 5 minute strategy · pine script · tradingview strategy · smart money concepts · mnq trading strategy · es futures strategy · cl futures strategy · price action strategy · day trading strategy · trading strategy

Frequently asked questions

What is the SMC Novik indicator?

It is a third-party Smart Money Concepts tool the video uses to flag shifts in market structure on the chart. Its configuration is not published — access to the settings sits behind the creator's paid Discord community — so this page describes the indicator's role in the workflow, not its parameters.

Can you apply this SMC approach without the indicator?

The underlying ideas — structure shifts, breaks of structure, change of character — are readable manually, and traders have marked them by hand for years. What the tool supplies is automated, consistent detection. Without it, you are making those judgement calls yourself, which is a different strategy in practice even if the vocabulary matches.

Does an 80% win rate mean a strategy is profitable?

Not by itself. Win rate is only one half of the equation — the average size of wins relative to losses, plus spread, commission and slippage, determine whether a high hit rate produces net gains. The figure here comes from the source video's title and is presented as the creator's claim, not as a verified result.

Does the same 5-minute setup work on both futures and CFDs?

It should not be assumed to. Futures trade on centralised exchanges with commission-based costs and fixed session hours, while CFDs are broker-quoted with spreads that widen outside liquid periods — at 5-minute granularity those differences bite. Test each instrument separately on its own data before treating the approach as transferable; Strategy Decoder extracts strategy structure from video sources so you can evaluate concepts like this one on TradingView.

About this strategy page

This trading strategy was decoded by Strategy Decoder's AI from a public YouTube trading video and turned into a structured, reviewable specification. In the interactive app this page shows the full entry and exit logic, risk management settings, the indicators involved with their parameters, AlgoWizard-compatible logic and a Pine Script export ready for TradingView backtesting — plus an automated backtest verdict when one has been computed for this strategy.

Strategy Decoder catalogs 2,229 decoded strategies. Each one is extracted with confidence scoring, cross-linked to the indicators it uses, and kept up to date as new videos are processed daily. Load this page with JavaScript enabled to use the interactive tools, or start from the strategy explorer to filter by methodology, market and timeframe.

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